The Population Wave
Tags
Summary
Editor's review
Who it's for
A good fit for
- General readers interested in demographic change, aging, and social policy
- Students and researchers in sociology, demography, and global history
- Policy and industry researchers focused on labor markets and migration
- Ordinary readers seeking a long-term perspective on how the modern world has changed
Not a good fit for
- Readers looking for concrete retirement-financing plans or practical guides
- Readers expecting purely data-driven analysis or rigorous econometric methods
- Specialists interested only in the details of one country's population policy
Reading tips
- Begin with the introduction or first chapter to grasp the overall framework of the two demographic transitions, then read in the order of Europe, North America, and Asia.
- While reading, sketch a timeline of the shifting demographic tide on paper to help understand the sequence of regional changes.
- Read alongside current news on aging and migration, and consider how the book's projections correspond to or differ from reality.
- Readers interested in policy issues may focus on the chapters on welfare burden and resource efficiency and take notes.
About the publisher
Founded in 1988 and affiliated with China CITIC Group, CITIC Press focuses on business and economics, social sciences, literature and children's books, with common categories covering social sciences, finance, literature, Eastern philosophy and literary appreciation. Its library holds 91 titles, including Yuval Noah Harari's Sapiens trilogy, Thomas Piketty's Capital in the Twenty-First Century, Wu Xiaobo's Thirty Years of Strife: Chinese Enterprises 1978–2008, Nelly Sachs's The Weight of Butterflies: Selected Poems of Nelly Sachs, as well as New Interpretations of the Analects and Chiang Hsun's lectures on Dream of the Red Chamber. Its authors and translators include Lin Junhong, Ba Shusong, Chen Li and Chang Fen-ling. Overall, the press introduces influential works in finance and social sciences while balancing classic translation and local appreciation in literature and Eastern philosophy, combining academic depth with accessible reading.
Contents
- 版权信息
- 引言
- 第一部分 人口与历史
- 第一章 引言
- 本书的主旨以及它为何重要
- 第二章 人口数量的重要性
- 大转变
- 历史上的人口大趋势
- 人口统计公式是怎样运算的？
- 人口带来的变化
- 人口数量与军事实力
- 人口数量与经济实力
- 国内人口而不仅仅是国际人口
- 简易人口学指南
- 数据
- 结论
- 第二部分 欧洲人口浪潮的合流之势
- 第三章 盎格鲁-撒克逊人的胜利
- 领先者英格兰
- 解释人口增长
- 与海峡对岸比较
- 爱尔兰：例外中的例外
- 世界工厂：人口如何使英国成为世界领先的经济体
- 为了女王和国家：帝国移民
- 美国的盎格鲁-撒克逊人
- 傲慢
- 第四章 德国和俄国的挑战
- 衰落的英格兰
- 预防出生：避孕简论
- 大规模移民一如既往
- 德国的觉醒
- 搅局者俄国
- 欧洲的失败者和苦难的移民
- 傲慢与恐惧：对人口均势变化的反应
- 摇篮何以撼动世界
- 第五章 逐渐消逝的“伟大种族”
- 战争、流感与人口
- 欧洲的大衰退
- 留在欧洲
- 竞争、悲观情绪与政策
- 人口与独裁者
- 欧洲列强的终结
- 第六章 1945年以来的西方世界
- 从婴儿潮到大规模移民
- 婴儿潮的出生
- 婴儿潮的消退
- 第二次转型
- 白种人口的老龄化
- 墨西哥的人口浪潮
- 接踵而至的西方其他地区
- 败退的欧洲人？
- 第七章 1945年以来的苏联和东欧集团：冷战失败背后的人口学
- 退缩的俄罗斯
- 政治上的回应
- 人口与苏联的解体
- 俄罗斯奄奄一息？
- 俄罗斯的反击
- 俄罗斯以外的东正教世界
- 罗马尼亚生育率的跃升
- 南斯拉夫战争
- 消失的人口
- 第三部分 涌向全球的人口浪潮：欧洲以外的人口
- 第八章 日本、中国和东亚：人口大国的老龄化
- 日出之国：日本的崛起
- 战后的日本：向世界最高龄国家迈进
- 中国：迈向并超越第一个10亿人口规模
- 中国的人口过山车
- 亚洲人口浪潮
- 第九章 中东和北非：政局不稳的人口学
- 人口振动
- 伊斯兰教、石油和政策：中东和北非人口的生成
- 人口压力与内部崩溃
- 阿拉伯人和以色列人：冲突的人口学
- 第十章 太阳底下无新鲜事？最后的潮头和未来的前景
- 太阳底下无新鲜事：拉丁美洲
- 南亚的人口
- 撒哈拉以南非洲：人口浪潮最后的浪头
- 下一步去往何方？人口未来的颜色
- 超乎想象
- 附录1 如何计算预期寿命
- 附录2 如何计算总和生育率
- 致谢
- 延伸阅读
FAQ
Is this book a strictly academic demographic monograph?
Are the book's judgments about the future well grounded?
Can someone without a demography background understand it?
Comments
Find this book
This site is an index: you start “Search all sources” in your browser, and the entries it lists all point to third-party sites; please judge their availability yourself.
About the author
Paul Morland is an author about whom limited public information is available. The Chinese book database currently includes only one of his works, The Population Wave, commonly classified under finance and economics. The book uses population change as its thread, discussing how demographic structure, scale and trends affect the economy and social life, and represents general-interest writing that combines demographic issues with an economic perspective. Because no reliable records are available on the author's nationality, dates of birth and death, education or professional career, no inferences are made here about his personal life. Judging from the available work, Morland's writing tends toward accessible explanations of broad macro issues for general readers, emphasizing connections between demographic data and real economic problems, and focusing on tracing trends and explaining their causes. For readers interested in the relationship between population and the economy, this work can serve as an introductory reference; given the limited material, however, his academic stance and full writing trajectory await further information.
Li Guo is an author with a notably cross-disciplinary range. Public information about him is limited, and four of his works are currently included in the collection. His subjects span philosophy, the history of science, and social and economic issues: Heidegger, Dilthey and the Crisis of Historicism examines historicism in the German intellectual tradition; The Secret of Life traces how Franklin, Watson and Crick discovered the DNA double helix; True Age discusses new research on human aging; and The Population Wave approaches social and financial questions through demographic change. Classified variously as history, social culture, popular science and finance, these works show an author skilled at turning specialist topics into readable narratives for general readers, combining careful exposition with accessibility.
