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The Age of Uncertainty

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Chapters
18
ISBN
9787521757651

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Summary

The Age of Uncertainty is one of the representative works of John Kenneth Galbraith, the renowned American economist and leading figure of the New Institutionalist school. Originally titled The Age of Uncertainty, it was written to accompany the BBC television series on economics that he produced and presented, and is therefore lucidly written for a general audience rather than a scholarly one. The book takes as its central thread how ideas shape society. It begins with the pioneers of eighteenth-century classical capitalism—Adam Smith, Ricardo, Malthus and others—and how they sketched the first theoretical outlines of the market economy; it then turns to the behavior and moral outlook of advanced capitalist society, before moving on to Karl Marx's critical dissent. The latter half broadens the scope further, taking in the ideas and violence of the colonial era, Lenin and the disintegration of political alliances, the rise and fall of money and banking, the arms race of the Cold War, the rise of the great corporation, the relationship between land and people, the swelling of the metropolis, and such questions as democracy, leadership and personal commitment. Galbraith seeks to show that the uncertainties people feel today did not appear out of nowhere but are closely bound up with two centuries of economic thought, institutional change and political events. Interweaving biography, period anecdote and dry irony, he makes the history of economic ideas—a subject that ought to be covered in curves and equations—feel effortless. The 2023 Chinese edition from CITIC Press is translated by Bai Tianhui and includes an introduction and a biographical sketch of Galbraith.

Editor's review

这是一本“反教科书”的经济思想史。加尔布雷思没有罗列公式与模型,而是把亚当·斯密、马尔萨斯、马克思、凡勃仑、凯恩斯等人放回他们所身处的时代,看他们的观念如何与现实互相塑造。书名“不确定的时代”本身就是一种判断:两百年来,人类从相对确定走向结构性动荡,而理解这种不确定性,必须回到思想的源头。 本书最初是BBC电视系列节目的配套读物,因而写得极为好读:有人物、有轶事、有冷嘲,也有对权力与制度的深刻洞察。读者既能从中获得一条清晰的经济思想史脉络,也能在讨论大公司、货币、军备竞赛与大都市的章节里,看到许多与当下呼应的议题。 中信版由白天惠翻译,并附导读与作者传略,便于初次接触加尔布雷思的读者顺利进入阅读。对于希望在纷乱信息中重建“经济学常识骨架”的读者,这本旧作新译依然提供了难得的视角与判断力。

Who it's for

A good fit for

  • 对经济学思想史与制度经济学感兴趣的普通读者
  • 希望理解当代经济不确定性来源的职场人与管理者
  • 喜欢以人物与时代故事切入思想史的阅读者
  • 经济、政治、社会学相关专业的学生与教师

Not a good fit for

  • 希望系统学习数学模型与计量方法的经济学考试备考者
  • 期待获得具体投资建议或操作策略的读者
  • 偏好严谨教科书式编排、需要完整理论体系的读者

Reading tips

  1. 可先读前言与导读,了解加尔布雷思的生平与写作背景,再按章节顺序阅读。
  2. 每读完一章,回想该章人物所处时代与当下经济现象的对应关系,做好批注。
  3. 若对马克思、凯恩斯等章节背景不熟,可配合相关人物传记或经济思想史教材对照阅读。
  4. 把它当作“问题地图”而非答案手册,读后可延伸阅读《丰裕社会》《新工业国》等作者其他作品。

About the publisher

CITIC Press China · Founded in 1988

Founded in 1988 and affiliated with China CITIC Group, CITIC Press focuses on business and economics, social sciences, literature and children's books, with common categories covering social sciences, finance, literature, Eastern philosophy and literary appreciation. Its library holds 91 titles, including Yuval Noah Harari's Sapiens trilogy, Thomas Piketty's Capital in the Twenty-First Century, Wu Xiaobo's Thirty Years of Strife: Chinese Enterprises 1978–2008, Nelly Sachs's The Weight of Butterflies: Selected Poems of Nelly Sachs, as well as New Interpretations of the Analects and Chiang Hsun's lectures on Dream of the Red Chamber. Its authors and translators include Lin Junhong, Ba Shusong, Chen Li and Chang Fen-ling. Overall, the press introduces influential works in finance and social sciences while balancing classic translation and local appreciation in literature and Eastern philosophy, combining academic depth with accessible reading.

Contents

  1. Introduction
  2. Biographical Sketch of John Kenneth Galbraith
  3. Preface: Living in an Age of Uncertainty
  4. Chapter One: The Prophets and the Prophecies of Classical Capitalism
  5. Chapter Two: The Behavior and Morals of Advanced Capitalism
  6. Chapter Three: The Dissent of Karl Marx
  7. Chapter Four: Colonial Ideas
  8. Chapter Five: Lenin and the Disintegration of Political Alliances
  9. Chapter Six: The Rise and Fall of Money
  10. Chapter Seven: The Orange Revolution
  11. Chapter Eight: The Deadly Arms Race
  12. Chapter Nine: The Great Corporation
  13. Chapter Ten: Land and People
  14. Chapter Eleven: The Metropolis
  15. Chapter Twelve: Democracy, Leadership, Commitment
  16. Acknowledgments
  17. Notes
  18. Picture Credits

FAQ

这本书和江苏人民出版社2009年版是同一本吗?
是同一部著作的不同中译本。原书名为 The Age of Uncertainty,2009年江苏人民出版社版书名曾译作《不确定的年代》,中信出版集团2023年版由白天惠翻译,ISBN为9787521757651。
读这本书需要经济学基础吗?
不需要。本书源自作者为BBC制作的经济专题节目,面向大众读者,作者以人物故事和时代背景讲述经济思想,几乎没有公式与图表,入门读者也能顺畅阅读。
书里主要讲了哪些人物和议题?
书中涉及亚当·斯密、李嘉图、马尔萨斯、马克思、列宁及凯恩斯等人的思想与时代,并讨论殖民、货币与银行、冷战军备竞赛、大公司、土地、大都市以及民主与领导力等议题。
这本书的目录可以在哪里核对?
国家出版发行信息公共服务平台、多个高校图书馆书目系统均收录了该版本,目录自“导读”“前言 身在不确定的时代”至第十二章“民主,领导力,献身精神”及致谢、注释、图片来源。

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About the author

John Kenneth Galbraith is an author included in Chinese-language publications, but public information about him is limited: his birth and death years, nationality, and educational background cannot be confirmed. Only one of his works is held in the collection, namely The Harvard Bookshelf, commonly classified under education. Judging from the title and category, the book likely centers on Harvard University-related reading lists, knowledge resources, or educational ideas, and is a popular work introducing the reading traditions and study methods of a prestigious university rather than a strictly academic monograph. Galbraith's writing style in this book is presumed to be clear, organized exposition and plain explanation aimed at general readers' knowledge needs. Because more records of his personal experience and writings are lacking, his overall writing profile and academic influence are difficult to assess fully; readers may learn more about his editorial approach and educational perspective through the specific contents of The Harvard Bookshelf.

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