The Book of Predictions
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Summary
Editor's review
Who it's for
A good fit for
- 希望把握AI时代职业与行业走向、又不想被碎片信息裹挟的职场人
- 正在为孩子的教育路径、专业选择做长期规划的父母与教师
- 喜欢翻跨年演讲实录、习惯读多家观点的趋势观察爱好者
- 做投资、创业或产品决策，需要一份多领域“未来清单”参考的人
- 想通过他人判断训练自己预判能力的通识阅读者
Not a good fit for
- 期待精确数据模型、严谨学术论证和文献支撑的研究型读者
- 希望读到完整故事或人物情节的文学类读者
- 不愿接受多人短篇合集形式、偏好单一作者长篇体系的读者
- 对“趋势/未来”话题已经厌倦、只想找确定性答案的人
Reading tips
- 不必按顺序通读：先翻目录，从你最关心的行业和处境对应的预测人篇章读起。
- 每读完一篇，用一句话写下作者的判断、依据和你自己的反对意见，形成个人判断清单。
- 把“现在很小、未来会被放大”当作筛选标准，今后留意身边符合这一特征的现象。
- 可与同一位作者的其他著作或公开内容对照阅读，理解其判断背后的长期框架。
About the publisher
New Star Press focuses on classic works, mystery and detective fiction, science fiction, history, foreign literature and art, and its 602 titles in the library show a balance between popular reading and humanistic depth. Representative books include The Complete Works of Shakespeare: Illustrated Collector's Edition, And Then There Were None, Murder on the Orient Express, The Player of Games, Local Government in Qing China, A Good Man Is Hard to Find and A Collection of Fine Ukiyo-e Prints, spanning classic literature, detective fiction, science fiction, local history and visual art. Its authors and contributors include William Shakespeare, Agatha Christie and Iain M. Banks, as well as translators such as Zhu Shenghao and Su Fuzhong and illustrators such as John Gilbert and George Cruikshank. Known for the detective series Midnight Library and for social-science and humanities titles, the press emphasizes edition design and reading experience; public information is limited, so this profile highlights the publishing features reflected in the library's books.
Contents
- Preface
- Part One: Will My Future Self Be Better?
- 01 Human 2.0 Will Exist in an Entirely New Way (Forecaster: Liu Qing)
- 02 Give Yourself a Ticket to the Future (Forecaster: He Caitou)
- 03 With These Four Abilities, AI Will Not Replace You (Forecaster: Li Songwei)
- 04 Virtual Space Will Make Us More Equal (Forecaster: Xue Zhaofeng)
- 05 Content Communication Will Become a Foundational Skill for Everyone (Forecaster: Xu Dainei)
- 06 History Will Record More of Ordinary People's Daily Lives (Forecaster: Wang Di)
- 07 The Second Generation of Factory Owners Will Complete Their "Patricide" (Forecaster: Wu Xiaobo)
- 08 We Can Escape Digital Loneliness and Return to a More Meaningful Life (Forecaster: Yan Fei)
- 09 Schooling Will Shift from Knowledge-Based to Meaning-First (Forecaster: Shen Zuyun)
- 10 Digital Minds Will Have Moral Agency (Forecaster: Nick Bostrom)
- 11 Our Spiritual World May Connect with the Digital World (Forecaster: Li Tiefu)
- Part Two: Will the Future World Get Worse?
- 12 The Age of Abundance Is Coming (Forecaster: Wan Weigang)
- 13 Whoever Steps Out of the Conservative Wave First Stands to Gain (Forecaster: Zhao Dingxin)
- 14 From T to π: These Six Abilities Will Help You Ride Out the Cycle (Forecaster: Gudian)
- 15 The "Trust Premium" Business Model Will Win Out (Forecaster: Xiang Shuai)
- 16 Future Medicines Will Not Look Like Medicine, and Patients Will Not Look Like Patients (Forecaster: Bo Shining)
- 17 The Future of Superconductivity Is in China (Forecaster: Luo Huiqian)
- 18 Connecting Isolated Islands Is the Next Generation of Architects' First Task (Forecaster: Tang Keyang)
- 19 Mosquito-Borne Diseases Such as Malaria and Dengue May Be Eradicated (Forecaster: Yuan Yue)
- 20 AI Will Create Not Only Super Individuals but Super Managers (Forecaster: Li Ning)
- 21 Quantum Computing May Change Everyone's Life (Forecaster: Miao Qian)
- 22 A Four-Day Workweek May Become Reality Within a Decade (Forecaster: Wei Zhe)
- 23 We Are Entering the Mirror World (Forecaster: Wu Chen)
- 24 Deep Integration of Robots and AI Will Be the Future of Manufacturing (Forecaster: Shi Zhe)
- 25 We May Be the Last Generation for Whom Work Is Universal (Forecaster: Min Kerui)
- Part Three: Which Opportunities Are Emerging?
- 26 China's East and West Will Develop More Evenly (Forecaster: Huang Hancheng)
- 27 Starting Tomorrow, Plan to Rely More on Yourself for Retirement (Forecaster: He Gang)
- 28 Hard Tech and Great Transformation: Two Keywords for the Future (Forecaster: Ma Jiangbo)
- 29 Skyscraper Factories in Cities Will Help You Retain Top Talent (Forecaster: Li Zhong)
- 30 We Can Produce Affordable, Low-Carbon Goods (Forecaster: Ma Yifeng)
- 31 "Deglobalization" Is Not Really Happening (Forecaster: Shi Zhan)
- 32 China Will Enter a Peak of Global Companies Emerging (Forecaster: Lin Xueping)
- 33 We Are Undergoing a Consumption Upgrade and Industrial Shift from Manufacturing to Services (Forecaster: Zhang Bin)
- 34 AI Will Change the Paradigm of Scientific Research (Forecaster: Zhuo Ke)
- 35 From "Treatment-Centered" to "Health-Centered" (Forecaster: Feng Xue)
- 36 China Is Seizing the High Ground in Deep-Sea Technology Competition (Forecaster: Tian Liyan)
FAQ
这本书是讲占卜或玄学预测的吗？
书里共有多少位预测者？
四象限框架具体指什么？
和《预测之书：1000天后的世界》是同一本吗？
这本书篇幅和定价如何？
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About the author
Luo Zhenyu was born in Wuhu, Anhui Province, in 1973 and holds a doctorate from the Communication University of China. A former producer at China Central Television, he launched the video talk show Luoji Siwei at the end of 2012, founded the knowledge service platform Dedao App in 2015, and created the New Year's Eve speech series "Friends of Time." His works mainly explore history, notable figures, the humanities, business, and cognition. He is known for explaining knowledge and ideas in accessible language, turning complex topics into easily understood presentations, and has a broad readership in management and personal-growth books. The library holds six of his works, including the history, figures, humanities, business, and cognition volumes of the Luoji Siwei series, as well as a five-volume collection.
