See Clearly

饭爷Beijing United Publishing Co., Ltd. · ChinaApr 2022

Rating 3.0
Word count
116K words
Chapters
28
ISBN
9787559657923

Tags

Personal Finance Investment PitfallsInvestment TimingEconomic CyclesRisk ControlFinancial FreedomCase Analysis

Summary

This book provides an in-depth analysis of numerous economic phenomena, teaching you to understand economic cycles and identify various investment traps. By discerning investment timing from economic patterns, you can achieve financial freedom.

Through this book, you can avoid detours, sidestep traps, and seize investment opportunities.

Editor's review

《看准》 is another major work by financial writer Fan Ye following 《看透》, with a Douban rating of 8.2, continuing his trademark incisive style and macro perspective. This book is not a traditional investment guide but an in-depth read on "understanding economic cycles." By tracing China's economic trajectory over the past two decades, the author embeds the fluctuations of key sectors—real estate, manufacturing, consumer markets—within a broader historical and policy framework, helping readers understand the driving logic behind cycles.

Fan Ye's strength lies in translating complex economic phenomena into accessible narrative; his deconstruction of concepts such as "credit expansion," "asset prices," and "industrial transformation" is particularly outstanding, avoiding dry theoretical堆积. His core idea of "doing the right thing at the right time window" essentially guides readers to build a dynamic, systemic observational mindset rather than seeking a static formula for wealth. His retrospective analysis of events such as the 2015 stock market crash and the 2020 pandemic shock demonstrates his penetrating insight.

It is worth noting that the book carries a strong personal judgment; some conclusions are based on the policy and economic environment of specific periods, so readers should maintain critical thinking. Overall, the value of 《看准》 lies in providing a set of "thinking tools" for observing China's economic evolution, suitable for readers who wish to deepen their economic understanding and grasp cyclical patterns. It does not promise immediate returns but may help you view trends and risks more clearly.

Who it's for

A good fit for

Not a good fit for

Reading tips

  1. Read alongside Fan Ye's previous work 《看透》 to understand the continuity and evolution of his analytical framework
  2. Note the time context of the cases in the book and consider how variables differ in the current environment
  3. For key policies or events mentioned, consult additional materials to form your own cross-validation

About the publisher

Beijing United Publishing Co., Ltd. China · Founded in 1993

Beijing United Publishing Co., Ltd. is a publisher known for its literature and history titles, with 2,065 books in the collection. Its publishing covers foreign literature, contemporary Chinese prose and essays, history, folk literature, and cultural books. Its list ranges from Sima Qian's complete edition of the Records of the Grand Historian to foreign classics such as The Book of Disquiet, All Quiet on the Western Front, Snow Country, The Stranger, and Jean-Christophe, as well as modern Chinese works including Teahouse and Dawn Blossoms Plucked at Dusk. Its authors and translators include Yasunari Kawabata, Fernando Pessoa, Erich Maria Remarque, Jin Xinyi, Zhou Miao, and Chen Chao. Public information is limited, but its catalogue reflects a balance between Chinese and foreign literary classics and historical and cultural works.

Contents

  1. 版权信息
  2. 第一章 看懂经济的本质，掌控财富规律
  3. 内循环是未来经济的必然选择
  4. 看懂美元周期，就能看懂诸多经济的真相
  5. 抓住属于自己时代的机会
  6. 央行如何拯救经济
  7. 印钞机正在悄悄偷走你的钱
  8. 关于美国债务那些事
  9. 是什么刺破了全球资产价格泡沫
  10. 数字货币带来的突破
  11. 第二章 经济中的危机和教训
  12. 下一次的次贷危机
  13. 通货膨胀之后会发生什么
  14. 经济危机乃至大萧条发生的根源
  15. 金融中潜藏的雷区
  16. 苏联与俄罗斯经济的教训
  17. 第三章 看懂股市趋势，成为投资赢家
  18. 风险就是机会
  19. 价值和投资从来都是两方面
  20. 巴菲特指标揭示了什么
  21. 炼就股市中的火眼金睛
  22. 股市的泡沫
  23. 第四章 避开投资中的陷阱
  24. 别掉进金融产品的深坑
  25. 保险是不是智商税
  26. 什么是不动产投资信托基金
  27. 多数人不适合专职做投资
  28. 日本养老投资启示录

FAQ

How does this book differ from 《看透》? 《看透》 focuses more on building wealth logic and foundational understanding, while 《看准》 further focuses on the specific observation and analysis of economic cycles; it can be seen as a deepened, practical sequel to the former.
Are the views in the book applicable to the current economic environment? The book was written during a specific economic phase; its analytical framework has reference value, but readers should make independent judgments in light of the latest policies and market changes rather than directly applying its conclusions.
Can I understand it without an economics background? The author writes in accessible language with abundant examples, so introductory readers can grasp the core narrative and viewpoints; however, some chapters involving financial terminology or policy background may require additional reference or repeated reading for full understanding.

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About the author

饭爷 Author

Fanye is an author for whom publicly available information is currently limited; the real name, nationality and life story behind this online pen name have not been clearly documented, so this introduction can only offer a brief account based on the works collected here. In the book database, Fanye has one work to date, Kan Zhun (roughly, "Seeing It Right"), which is classified under personal finance and is the author's main written output for readers. In terms of subject matter, Kan Zhun centers on money management and looks at how ordinary people approach financial judgment and choice, giving it a practical, general-readership character. Because background information on the author is scarce, a full assessment of writing style and influence is difficult at present; readers may begin with the work itself to get a sense of its expression and focus.